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Information provision, policy support, and farmers' adaptive responses against drought: An empirical study in the North China Plain

机译:Information provision, policy support, and farmers' adaptive responses against drought: an empirical study in the North China plain

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摘要

As an important agricultural production region in China, the North China Plain (NCP) is an ecologically vulnerable region that frequently is hit by drought. Faced with drought and other extreme climate events, policy makers have given top priority to the formulation and implementation of adaptation policies. This paper assessed the effectiveness of adaptation policies, including the provision of early warning information and policy supports, on farmers' adaptive decisions regarding the planting of the wheat crop in the NCP. Based on a unique dataset from a large-scale village and farm survey in five provinces in the NCP, an econometric model of farmers' adaptation practices is estimated. Results show that when faced with a more severe drought, farmers change their management practices to mitigate its effects by adjusting seeding or harvesting dates and enhancing irrigation intensity. The provisions of early warning and prevention information and policy supports against drought facilitate farmers to make farm management adaptations. However, the effectiveness of early warning and prevention information or policy supports differs by their provision channels or types. The findings of this study have policy implications in coping with the rising frequency and seriousness of extreme weather events in China as a whole and in ecologically more vulnerable NCP in particular. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:作为中国重要的农业生产地区,华北平原是一个生态脆弱的地区,经常遭受干旱的打击。面对干旱和其他极端气候事件,决策者将适应政策的制定和实施放在首位。本文评估了适应政策的有效性,包括提供预警信息和政策支持,以帮助农民做出有关在NCP种植小麦作物的适应性决定。基于NCP五个省的大规模乡村和农场调查的独特数据集,估算了农民适应实践的计量经济学模型。结果表明,面对更严重的干旱,农民通过调整播种或收获日期并提高灌溉强度来改变管理方式,以减轻其影响。干旱预警和预防信息以及政策支持的规定有助于农民适应农场管理。但是,预警和预防信息或政策支持的有效性因其提供渠道或类型而异。这项研究的结果对应对整个中国,尤其是生态脆弱的国家协调委员会(NCP)中极端天气事件的频率和严重性具有政策意义。 (C)2015 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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